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A Weibull / Lognormal introduction. Brings the novice up to working level. Covers analysis of good data, messy data, forecasting, optimum replacements, inspections, grouped data, Weibayes, test planning, and reliability growth modeling. Training includes hours of hands-on problem solving with SuperSMITH software to analyze example data found in the PlayTIME Computer Tutorial for SuperSMITH.
Extends coverage to alternate fitting solutions such as maximum likelihood estimation (mle), distribution comparison, system and mixture solutions, confidence, significant differences, and related models. More time is included for student hands-on problem solving using SuperSMITH. There is additional time for details concerning simulation models or for follow-up consulting on data brought by each student.
Our complete seminar features front-to-back treatment of The New Weibull Handbook(c) latest edition. Each attendee receives the handbook and also receives the FULL SuperSMITH(R) software latest version including two afternoons of hands-on computer usage, plus the PlayTIME(TM) tutorial booklet covering every type of problem and every related software option. This workshop is designed to bring the novice up to expert capability. Topics include failure analysis, optimal parts replacement, cost analysis, failure prediction, warranty analysis, system modeling, reliability-growth, alternate fitting solutions, test planning, confidence, and accelerated testing. Chemical & Petro-Chemical Plant, Medical, and every type of commercial product or service. Coverage of the complete New Weibull Handbook(c) by Dr. Bob.
The four-day workshop includes the FULL workshop above plus either time for student presentations of their own real problems or time for system simulation overview. Analysis of real customer problems allows Wes or Carl and the class to serve as a consulting forum reviewing each problem. The students are asked to bring one or more of their own problems to the workshop. Students get consulting on their real problems and show how they are applying the new techniques learned. Managers are invited. Alternatively, time may be devoted to system simulation tools for building models of any level of complexity regarding reliability, maintainability, safety, spare parts, logistics analysis and warranty-guarantee costs including experience with computer simulation models. the basic workshop for the same people.
Each attendee receives the FULL SuperSMITH(R) software latest version including two afternoons of hands-on computer usage, plus the PlayTIME™. This workshop is designed to bring the novice up to expert capability. Topics include failure analysis, optimal parts replacement, cost analysis, failure prediction, warranty analysis, system modeling, reliability-growth, alternate fitting solutions, test planning, confidence, and accelerated testing.
Includes the FULL workshop plus time for student presentations of their own real problems or time for system simulation overview. Students get consulting on their real problems in applying the new techniques learned. Alternatively, time may be devoted to system simulation tools for building models of any level of complexity regarding reliability, maintainability, safety, spare parts, logistics analysis and warranty-guarantee costs including experience with computer simulation models.
An extra day may be devoted to updating experienced analysts (Weibull Workshop Alumni or equivalent) on the newest Weibull / Log-Normal technology and SuperSMITH software. This would be scheduled in conjunction with a Workshop at the same facility. A minimum of 8 students is required. Rally students have access to the software and receive the Handbook and PlayTIME.
Before or after a complete Workshop, a half-day presentation to senior managers can provide an overview of this new technology including application to their problems
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Weibull analysis overview
23-minute video short course
How to do a Weibull analysis
Interpretation of Good Weibulls
Interpretation of Bad Weibulls - Cusps, dog-legs, curves, t0, Lognormal
Extremely small sample analysis. . .what are the risks?
Suspensions & sample size effects on uncertainty
Predicting failures with and without renewal
Case studies. . .customer usage. . .maintenance planning. . .goodness-of-fit with ccc and the new pve%
Crow-AMSAA reliability growth modeling. . .for tracking development testing and repairable systems maintainability
Weibull Experiments. . .wire data. . .classwork problems and solutions
Experimental wire data distribution analysis
Optimal replacement intervals
Weibull analysis. . .improving accuracy, smaller samples, Weibayes
Weibayes substantiation tests. . .Have we fixed the problem? Zero-failure testing, sudden death tests
PlayTIME with SuperSMITH software. . .hands-on computer experience solving problems. . .students may bring their own data for analysis with the software
Maximum likelihood Weibull theory and application
Rank regression (rr) vs. Maximum likelihood Estimation (mle). . .advantages/disadvantages
Alternate types of data . . . inspection and grouped with probit solutions
Are two Weibull data sets significantly different?
Additional PlayTIME tutorial work
PlayTIME with SuperSMITH
Time for all students to analyze their own data and problems
Computer tutorial with typical problems
Binomial & Poisson solutions
The exponential related to Poisson and Weibull
Kaplan-Meier survival for warranty analysis
System models - independent modes
Monte Carlo simulation solutions
Example: The Cliff Walker
Transforming random numbers into real variables, like time to failure
Example: Ssystem simulation with renewal
Case Studies: Reliability, maintainability, safety systems models - dependent modes
PC hands-on simulation
Reliability and maintainability with RAPTOR and MONTE
Students receive copies of simulator software
And/Or time to analyze your data
Failure forecasting (risk analysis)
By part, component, system
A month, a year, 5 years, 10 years ahead
Labor costs forecasting
Spare parts forecasting
Optimal renewal interval new capabilities
Crow-AMSAA . . . modeling updates
Tracking fleets for maintainability
Classic bi-Weibull and YBath solutions
New cost-effective test planning
Inspection data. . .new methods
Monte Carlo research. . .& surprises
Kaplan Meier survival analysis
Modified likelihood ratio tests for multiple data sets
The latest SuperSMITH software
Hands-on computer tutorial with your own problems and your own data